By Steve Dunford
Remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy should arrive sometime this afternoon. It will bring heavy rains to Southern Illinois. Here in Franklin County, most models are showing 1″ to 1.5″ inches of rain. Precipitation totals will be heavier to the south.
The heaviest rain and thunderstorms associated with the remnants will take a northeasterly path through Arkansas, and possibly as far north as the Missouri Bootheel, then take a sharp turn to the right through the state of Tennessee.
This is a system in which 25 miles could make a huge difference in the amount of precipitation that is received.
Today from Route 13 south is under a marginal (level 1 of 5) risk of severe weather. Tomorrow all of Southern Illinois will be under a marginal risk.
Below is the hazardous weather outlook for the region.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
331 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE…Today and Tonight
Thunderstorms are possible with increasing rain chances later
today and tonight. Heavy rainfall will be the primary storm
related hazard through the period. Any strong storm chances
include a marginal risk of severe storms, with an isolated weak
tornado a possibility mainly this afternoon or evening, during
the maximum heating and instability time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Friday through Wednesday
The most potent chance for heavy rain comes with showers and
storms Friday afternoon and early evening. The moisture from
Tropical Storm Cindy will combine with an approaching cold front
to peak this heavy rain chance and the potential for flooding.
Storm total rainfall amounts should average from 2 to 4 inches
across western Kentucky, with 1 to 3 inches to the north and west.
Locally higher amounts are possible with persistent or repeat
thunderstorms. The marginal risk of a storm becoming severe
includes as the primary hazard isolated weak tornadoes.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…
While spotter activation is not anticipated, spotters are
encouraged to relay their precipitation amounts and any possible
flooding to the NWS, or their nearest law enforcement or
emergency services relay point.
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